The global advertising industry is set to experience significant growth in 2023, with revenues projected to increase by 5.9% to reach a total of $874.5 billion, according to a report by Group M, WPP’s media investment group. This growth is expected to be driven by the rapid expansion of digital out-of-home, connected TV, and retail media, which are predicted to be the fastest-growing channels.
Digital pure-play ad revenue, which includes search, social media, and retail media, is expected to account for a whopping 68.8% or $598.5 billion of the total revenue. This demonstrates the increasing dominance of digital channels in the advertising landscape. The report attributes the consistent growth forecast from December 2022 to June 2023 to the increasing maturity of the digital channel and its largest representatives, despite macroeconomic impacts from inflation and interest rates.
However, the report also notes a "marked deceleration" in digital ad revenue expansion from the 32% recorded in 2021, down to 9.2% in 2022 and 8.4% expected in 2023. This slowdown is attributed to the channel reaching a level of maturity, rather than a "recessionary environment."
Global channels breakdown
For US marketers, these trends present both opportunities and challenges. The US market is expected to experience a growth of 5.1% in 2023, with revenues projected at $325.3 billion. This growth, coupled with the shift towards digital channels, means that US marketers need to continue to innovate and adapt their strategies to stay competitive.
The rise of digital channels, particularly retail media, indicates a shift in consumer behavior and preferences. US marketers should consider investing more in these channels to reach their target audiences more effectively. The potential of connected TV and digital out of home also offers new avenues for creative and engaging advertising campaigns.
However, the report's prediction of a negative growth rate after adjusting for inflation suggests that marketers will need to be more strategic and efficient in their ad spending. This could involve leveraging data analytics and artificial intelligence, which are expected to inform or touch at least half of all advertising revenue by the end of 2023, according to the report.
Furthermore, the report's discussion on the impact of data privacy concerns and the fall of cookies suggests a need for marketers to prioritize privacy-compliant strategies. Logged-in environments are expected to continue to appeal to advertisers looking to maximize addressability and performance, indicating a potential shift towards more personalized and targeted advertising strategies.
The global advertising landscape is evolving rapidly, with digital channels leading the way. For US marketers, staying ahead of these trends and adapting their strategies accordingly will be key to success in 2023 and beyond. Despite the challenges, the growth of the advertising industry offers exciting opportunities for innovation and creativity in marketing strategies.
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